After the bullish rally of yesterday, I think the market needs a break. The 5 ma monthly could be resistance and the 5 ma daily is 220 points behind. Longs could be vulnerable and chasing the market is wrong.
5/20 monthly is positive, 5/20 daily is negative and 5/20 60' is positive. If the smaller frames remain strong, I see some moving averages as resistance.
Interesting situation today. We see a bounce on the 5 ma monthly but the declining 5 ma daily is resistance. If the bigger frame overrule the smaller ....than it's up....wait and see...
Therefore, today I watch especially the 20 ma ym. Looking for longs because support is possible. The smaller frames are moving between the 5 ma daily and the 5 ma monthly.
Ym, es and nq daily don't show the same patterns and that's always difficult. Therefore, intraday I watch them all. For today, ym still has support because the smaller frames are moving above the 5 and 20 ma daily and there is no negative cross. So, technical looking for longs. Nq made a negative cross and es bounced yesterday on the 20 ma daily.
2 days ago the market bounced on the 5 ma monthly towards the 5 ma daily and that's bullish.
The smaller frames are moving above the 5 ma daily, so technical it's long. But if we watch at ym daily, to me longs are vulnerable there. Trade what you see.
The smaller frames are moving above the rising 5 ma daily. 200 ma es is crossed and is support now. The bulls are in favor but watch out for extention. Waiting for a pullback is safer.
Nq lost for a few hours the 20 ma daily but ym had support because of the 200 ma daily and es because of the rising 20 ma daily. At the end the market came down because the 200 ma daily es was resistance.
That means, intraday we have to be open minded and to be prepared for different situations everyday.
The markets are still moving above the 5 ma daily. And 5/20 daily YM crossed the 5 ma monthly in a positive way. So, longs get the benefit of the doubt.
The smaller frames lost of the bigger because the rising 20 ma daily was support. The markets are moving above their 5 ma daily but es has resistance because of the 200 ma daily.
Nq lost the 20 ma daily but there are still a few other supportareas. Ym and es still have support on the 20 ma daily. Looking for longs on nq today if we gets lower.
The bears were strong the past 2 days. The 20 ma's daily are in play now. The extention with the 5 ma monthly is gone because of the pullbacks. To me the bigger frames are neutral.
I give longs the benefit of the doubt because of the positive 5/20 daily. Longer term, 5 ma monthly is key.