Yesterday was a green day, but in the smaller frames, shorts were possible because of the 50 ma daily nq. The situation for today is more or less the same.
The smaller frames are moving today between the declining 5 ma daily and the flat 20 ma daily.
Technical looking for longs. Waiting for signals in the smaller frames because of divergence between nq, es and ym.
A lot of action yesterday but at the end the smaller frames arrived at the same levels as at the beginning of the session. Watch te elllipses for longs or shorts.
The sentiment is bullish but longs are risky. Look at the daily tail on Friday, Monday and yesterday. 5/20 60' is still bullish, therefore longs get the benefit of the doubt in the smaller frames.
Longs were vulnerable yesterday but the 5 ma daily is still rising and reached today the smaller timeframes. We see already a first bounce but 5/20 60' is resistance. Who wins????
It was again a nice example of 'the market is' and as a trader we need to know that there are no securities but only probabilitys when we plan a trade.
After the bullish rally of yesterday, I think the market needs a break. The 5 ma monthly could be resistance and the 5 ma daily is 220 points behind. Longs could be vulnerable and chasing the market is wrong.
5/20 monthly is positive, 5/20 daily is negative and 5/20 60' is positive. If the smaller frames remain strong, I see some moving averages as resistance.
Interesting situation today. We see a bounce on the 5 ma monthly but the declining 5 ma daily is resistance. If the bigger frame overrule the smaller ....than it's up....wait and see...
Therefore, today I watch especially the 20 ma ym. Looking for longs because support is possible. The smaller frames are moving between the 5 ma daily and the 5 ma monthly.
Ym, es and nq daily don't show the same patterns and that's always difficult. Therefore, intraday I watch them all. For today, ym still has support because the smaller frames are moving above the 5 and 20 ma daily and there is no negative cross. So, technical looking for longs. Nq made a negative cross and es bounced yesterday on the 20 ma daily.
2 days ago the market bounced on the 5 ma monthly towards the 5 ma daily and that's bullish.
The smaller frames are moving above the 5 ma daily, so technical it's long. But if we watch at ym daily, to me longs are vulnerable there. Trade what you see.
The smaller frames are moving above the rising 5 ma daily. 200 ma es is crossed and is support now. The bulls are in favor but watch out for extention. Waiting for a pullback is safer.
Nq lost for a few hours the 20 ma daily but ym had support because of the 200 ma daily and es because of the rising 20 ma daily. At the end the market came down because the 200 ma daily es was resistance.
That means, intraday we have to be open minded and to be prepared for different situations everyday.
The markets are still moving above the 5 ma daily. And 5/20 daily YM crossed the 5 ma monthly in a positive way. So, longs get the benefit of the doubt.
The smaller frames lost of the bigger because the rising 20 ma daily was support. The markets are moving above their 5 ma daily but es has resistance because of the 200 ma daily.
Nq lost the 20 ma daily but there are still a few other supportareas. Ym and es still have support on the 20 ma daily. Looking for longs on nq today if we gets lower.
The bears were strong the past 2 days. The 20 ma's daily are in play now. The extention with the 5 ma monthly is gone because of the pullbacks. To me the bigger frames are neutral.
I give longs the benefit of the doubt because of the positive 5/20 daily. Longer term, 5 ma monthly is key.
The market seems strong but the overheadresistance was there yesterday. Watch the 20 ma dailys. To extended for me....So I wait for a stronger pullback to go long. Intraday 5/20 60' is key.
The bulls have been fighting against the declining 5 ma monthly on ym and at the end the bears took control. We lost the 5 ma daily but al lot of moving averages on nq and especially the rising 20 ma are support. If we believe in the daily frame it's long....defensive traders wait for signals in the smaller frames.
5 ma monthly ym was to much for the bulls and the result was a trendday down. But 5 ma/20 ma daily is positive. Technical it's long. Waiting for signals in the smaller frames. Watch the horizontal supportlines and the rising moving averages.